Unusual Dry Spell in Northern Arizona Sparks Wildfire Concerns
In a striking turn of events, northern Arizona has experienced a significant lack of rain since November, prompting forest officials to issue alerts about increasing wildfire risks. The region’s dry conditions, paired with unseasonably warm temperatures, mirror a historic drought last seen in 1918, according to the National Weather Service.
The absence of precipitation has left fire experts apprehensive about potential challenges in the coming months. KNAU’s Adrian Skabelund discussed the situation with Jesse Causer, Fire Planner for the Coconino National Forest.
Adrian Skabelund: Can you explain the current fire conditions across Northern Arizona?
Jesse Causer: Indeed, it’s exceedingly dry. Our records go back to 2002, but when consulting with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, it’s clear we’re facing unprecedented conditions. We’re registering moderate to high fire danger, which illustrates the potential for severe fire behavior if circumstances align.
AS: January typically brings substantial snowfall to Flagstaff. How do current conditions compare to a normal January?
JC: Normally, January represents a low fire danger period with standing snow and moisture. This year, however, we’re not seeing that. Areas like Sedona and Camp Verde, which are below the Mogollon Rim, usually lack the moisture seen in higher regions, exacerbating the current situation. Our resources are stretched, as staff must maintain fire season readiness rather than taking the usual seasonal respite.
AS: What are your expectations for the upcoming spring and summer seasons?
JC: The dryness is concerning. Historically, late winter and early spring moisture can mitigate fire risks. Should we receive significant rainfall by March or April, it might alleviate the fire threat. However, lacking that, we could face an early onset of fire restrictions and increased resource demands. The situation is currently unsettling, but a shift in weather could offer relief.
AS: What advice do you have for the public engaging in outdoor activities amidst these dry conditions?
JC: It’s crucial for people to heed the warnings and information we provide, such as the Smokey Bear fire danger ratings and NOAA’s weather updates. Particularly, attention should be paid to fire weather watches and red flag warnings, as these indicate heightened risks due to the current dryness.
AS: Thanks, Jesse, for the insights.
JC: You’re welcome. Stay safe.
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