As Michigan gears up for November’s general elections, the candidates from both major parties have been finalized following the conventions. This sets the stage for an intense campaign period across the state.
Key races in Michigan will be closely watched, with historical trends and various political factors potentially influencing the outcomes. Zach Gorchow, president of Gongwer News Service Michigan, discussed these dynamics with Michigan Public’s Morning Edition host Doug Tribou.
The Governor’s Race
Doug Tribou: In the gubernatorial race, Republican Congressman John James is challenging Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson. Historically, Michigan has alternated parties in the governor’s office in recent cycles. What are some other elements at play in this potentially tight race?
Zach Gorchow: Unlike past election cycles, Jocelyn Benson might benefit from having the opposite party in the White House, as the president’s party typically struggles in midterms. Additionally, Michigan’s current economic situation, with low unemployment, doesn’t support the usual “time-for-change” sentiment seen in previous elections.
Statewide Offices
DT: Michigan will also choose a secretary of state and an attorney general. Democratic Lieutenant Governor Garlin Gilchrist faces Republican Macomb County Clerk Anthony Forlini for secretary of state. For the attorney general position, Republican Doug Lloyd challenges Democratic Eli Savit.
ZG: Historically, Michigan voters could split their tickets in these races, but recent trends show one party winning all three major offices. This year could indicate whether voters will continue this pattern.
Party Dynamics
DT: Nationally, there have been significant divides within the Democratic party, as seen in Michigan’s U.S. Senate primary. What insights does history provide about success amidst party fractures?
ZG: Fractious primaries can challenge general election success. The Democrats’ advantage might lie in the national political climate, which appears favorable for them this year, potentially offsetting internal divisions.
Legislative Races
DT: Beyond statewide races, all 148 legislative seats are up for grabs. What are the key focuses in these campaigns?
ZG: Democrats are emphasizing affordability and linking Republicans to an unpopular president. Meanwhile, Republicans are focusing on local issues, highlighting their efforts to cut taxes and utility rates.
Congressional Battles
DT: How are the parties targeting resources for congressional races?
ZG: Both parties are heavily involved in crucial U.S. House races, particularly in Macomb County and West Michigan. However, the Democrats’ strategy for a competitive Mid-Michigan seat remains unclear.
Editor’s note: Some quotes in this article have been lightly edited for length and clarity. You can play the full audio of the interview near the top of this page.
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