Trump’s Michigan Economy: Inflation, Tariffs, Tensions

President Trump's second term has seen skyrocketing prices and economic uncertainty in Michigan due to tariffs.
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Article Summary –

President Trump’s economic promises to lower prices and boost American manufacturing have not been fulfilled, as Michigan faces rising prices due to inflation and tariffs, causing financial strain and economic uncertainty within its key industries of manufacturing and agriculture. A recent survey indicates that a majority of Michigan voters are dissatisfied with the state of the economy, opposing tariffs which they see as a financial burden on consumers, while the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s tariffs were unconstitutional, leading to uncertainties about tariff refunds. The economic relationship between Michigan and Canada, heavily reliant on trade, is under threat from the tariffs and Trump’s threats to block the opening of the Gordie Howe International Bridge without Canadian concessions, despite the critical importance of the United States-Mexico-Canada Trade Agreement to the region’s prosperity.


President Donald Trump pledged to reduce costs and enhance U.S. manufacturing in his second term’s first year.

However, affordable living remains elusive for Michigan residents as prices surge due to inflation and tariffs. The state’s manufacturing and agriculture sectors face challenges from Trump’s economic strategies targeting Michigan’s major economic partner, Canada.

Michiganders are ‘feeling the financial squeeze’

Only 12% of Michigan voters believe the state’s economy is improving, with 16% noting personal financial gains, a survey by UpONE Insights and IMPACT Research reveals. The poll also shows a majority opposing tariffs, with 64% believing consumers bear the cost.

“The primary concern for Michigan residents is the cost of goods,” said Mark Fisk from the SMART Trade Alliance. “They see tariffs as an undeniable tax.”

Since returning to office in 2025, Trump has modified tariffs on imports from trading partners, including specific levies on aluminum and steel. These tariffs, stated as negotiation tools, are projected to increase U.S. household taxes by an average of $1,300 in 2026, according to the Tax Foundation.

The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s tariffs under the emergency powers law were unconstitutional, lacking congressional authorization. The Supreme Court did not address refunding the over $130 billion collected in tariff revenue. On the same day, Trump introduced a 10% global tariff, later announcing an increase to 15% on Truth Social.

Tariffs cloud auto, agricultural outlook

Tariffs have impacted Michigan’s automotive and agriculture sectors, which together form a significant part of the state economy. Predictable trade policies are crucial for these sectors, according to Fisk. Michigan leads U.S. auto production, with automakers incurring $10 billion in tariffs from Canada and Mexico through October 2025.

About 42% of Michigan’s agricultural exports go to Canada, and 15% to Mexico, notes Chuck Lippstreu, Michigan Agri-Business Association president. The 2020 United States-Mexico-Canada Trade Agreement exemption from tariffs is vital for agriculture as trade talks continue. Fisk mentions international markets shifting from U.S. suppliers: “Brazil and Argentina are replacing U.S. soybean exports, which is a long-term concern.”

Michigan and Canada’s trade ties

Canada is Michigan’s largest export market, exceeding the next four largest combined, says Colin Bird, Canada’s consul general in Detroit. The upcoming Gordie Howe International Bridge promises enhanced trade efficiency, but Trump’s stance threatens this relationship. On Feb. 9, he announced blocking the bridge’s opening pending Canadian concessions.

Bird expresses concern over paused investments due to tariffs but remains optimistic given the North American free trade agreement’s role. The agreement up for review by July 2026 is key to maintaining vital economic links between the U.S. and Canada.

Canada and Michigan are committed to sustaining economic ties, fostering trade, and adapting to challenges. Bird emphasizes strong bipartisan support for this relationship, which is crucial across the Great Lakes region’s supply chains.


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