UM President Bodnar Mulls Independent Run Against Sen. Steve Daines

UM President Seth Bodnar may challenge Sen. Steve Daines, sparking debate on his potential independent run's impact.
Bodnar expected to join candidates seeking U.S. Senate seat • Daily Montanan

University of Montana President Seth Bodnar is speculated to challenge Republican U.S. Sen. Steve Daines, stirring political discussions in Montana. Though Bodnar has not publicly confirmed his intentions, sources suggest he is contemplating a Senate run as an independent. The potential candidacy raises questions about its impact on the race, especially given Bodnar’s military background and executive experience. Some Democrats argue a party-backed campaign could be more effective against Daines.

Bodnar’s party affiliation remains undeclared, and he has maintained a politically neutral stance while leading the University of Montana. Former U.S. Sen. Jon Tester, the last Democrat to hold statewide office, allegedly supported Bodnar’s independent bid, calling the Democratic Party “poison” during his own re-election efforts. Tester later clarified on his podcast, “Grounded,” that his comments were misinterpreted, asserting his dedication to the Democratic Party.

Political analysts predict a shift toward Democrats in the upcoming midterms, but Montana’s Democratic candidates lack widespread recognition. Bodnar’s name, however, is familiar to many Montanans. Previously considered as a candidate against Daines in 2020, Bodnar’s credentials, including his military service and role as a former GE executive, align him with other Montana politicians. Daines, the state’s senior senator, lacks a military background, possibly making Bodnar appealing to voters.

Despite Bodnar’s credentials, independent candidates typically face challenges, particularly against a well-established incumbent like Daines, who secured a significant victory in 2020. Democrats like Reilly Neill and Alani Bankhead are already in the race, with Neill questioning Bodnar’s potential run, suspecting Republican financial backing. The Cook Political Report rates Montana’s Senate seat as “Solid Republican,” but Democratic Party Chair Shannon O’Brien remains optimistic about a blue wave and emphasizes the party’s commitment to defeating Republicans.

Shannon O’Brien stressed the importance of party unity in the primary and the strategic advantage of having a party infrastructure to support campaigns. While Bodnar’s role as UM president gives him visibility, a lack of party affiliation could limit his campaign’s reach. The potential for an independent candidate to sway voters from both sides remains, but the Democratic Party’s focus appears to be on strengthening its presence in Montana.


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