Fire Risk in Northern Arizona to Stay ‘Near Normal’ Despite Dry Winter, Says National Weather Service
The fire season outlook for northern Arizona predicts a “near normal” fire danger level through the upcoming months, according to a recent analysis by the National Weather Service (NWS). The forecast, which covers March through May, relies on various factors such as drought status, snowpack levels, and expected weather patterns.
Although this winter has been relatively dry, much of Arizona experienced precipitation levels ranging from near-average to above-average during the current water year. However, the snowpack remains below normal, attributed to limited storm activity followed by periods of warm and dry conditions.
There is a silver lining: drought conditions have shown improvement compared to the previous year. Currently, over a third of Arizona is experiencing moderate or more severe drought, a significant reduction from the 99% recorded at the same time last year.
The NWS emphasizes the importance of spring weather in shaping the upcoming fire season. Current forecasts indicate a trend of above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation, which could affect fire risk.
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