Western & Southeastern States Lead Q1 GDP Growth; Midwest Declines

Economic output rose 2.1% nationally in Q1, led by Western and Southeastern states, while the Midwest saw declines.
A gas flare burns in front of an oil pumpjack near Killdeer, North Dakota in 2024. North Dakota and South Dakota had large increases in personal income for the first quarter as oil prices rose, but little to no economic growth after inflation. (Photo by Jeff Beach/North Dakota Monitor)

Economic output in the first quarter increased by 2.1% nationally, with the highest growth in Western and Southeastern states, while the agricultural Midwest saw a decline. According to new figures from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Washington state’s GDP surged 4.5% due to the AI boom, while South Dakota experienced a 1.6% drop amidst agricultural challenges.

California saw a 3.7% GDP rise, and both North Carolina and South Carolina increased by 3.2%. Nebraska and Iowa were the only other states with GDP decreases, down 0.9% and 0.1%, respectively. In contrast, personal income rose significantly in North Dakota and South Dakota, driven by increased oil prices amid the Iran war, with North Dakota’s income up 22.4% and South Dakota’s by 11.8%.

The Dakotas experienced a disparity between personal income growth and economic output, with South Dakota’s GDP declining and North Dakota’s barely rising by 0.1%. This discrepancy is attributed to inflation adjustments, where oil price impacts are reflected in personal income but not in inflation-adjusted economic output. Oil production remains essential to North Dakota’s tax revenues.

Hawaii was the only state where personal income decreased, dropping 23.9% due to a downturn in tourism and federal job cuts, as reported in a February state report.


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