Arizona Faces Intensifying Drought Conditions Amid Low Snowfall and Rising Temperatures
Arizona is bracing for worsening drought conditions following an unusually dry winter, as forecasters predict further challenges ahead. The National Weather Service reports that Flagstaff’s snowfall this season reached just under 26.9 inches, ranking as the fifth lowest since 1936 and significantly below the average of 89 inches annually.
The current snowpack in Arizona has almost vanished due to a series of warm spells in winter and spring, which have set record high temperatures. Consequently, much of northern Arizona is experiencing moderate drought, with far eastern and northeastern areas facing severe drought conditions.
Despite these challenges, the state’s drought situation has improved compared to the previous year. Presently, 25% of Arizona is in severe or worse drought, a noteworthy reduction from 89% in April 2025.
As May and June approach, Arizona is expected to face significant wildfire risks due to anticipated warmer temperatures and reduced precipitation. However, there is optimism for relief with the upcoming monsoon season. Forecasters suggest that the pattern could be wetter than usual, potentially influenced by a Super El Niño expected to form between May and July.
Temperatures across the Southwest are projected to remain above average at least until mid-May. The combination of low snowfall and an unexpected heatwave in March has prompted local forest managers to keep a vigilant watch on fire conditions in northern Arizona.
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