Article Summary –
Severe thunderstorm forecasting models indicate a significant line of severe storms moving northward to affect more of Lower Michigan. The storms could potentially reach from the Petoskey area south along all of the Lake Michigan shoreline and hold together in severe strength as far inland as U.S. 127. A line of storms like this may generate wind gusts up to 70 mph and may be strongest along the Lake Michigan shoreline, weakening as they move into the southeast part of Lower Michigan.
Severe Storm Forecast for Lower Michigan
Top severe thunderstorm forecasting models indicate a significant line of storms moving northward, likely affecting Lower Michigan by morning.
Radar Forecast Trends
The high resolution model, a leading tool in thunderstorm prediction, shows the storm line potentially stretching from Petoskey, down the Lake Michigan shoreline, and remaining at severe strength as far inland as U.S. 127.
Radar forecast from 11 p.m. tonight to 10 a.m. Tuesday, June 25, 2024. NOAA
Storm Timelines
Between 4 a.m. and 6 a.m., the severe storm line could reach Traverse City, Frankfort, Manistee, and Ludington, then quickly moving southeast across Lower Michigan between 6 a.m. and 10 a.m. The storms may weaken after 9 a.m.
Wind Strength
This type of thunderstorm line could generate significant straight-line winds, with potential gusts reaching up to 70 mph.
Areas of Impact
The storms are expected to be strongest along the Lake Michigan shoreline and could still be severe when reaching major cities like Grand Rapids, Kalamazoo, Saginaw, and Flint. The severity may lessen as they move southeast into Ann Arbor and Detroit.
Model Accuracy
For model accuracy, we compare current conditions to predictions. Right now, models anticipate severe storms developing in northwest Wisconsin, which is coming to fruition. This implies the possibility of severe conditions.
Current Radar
Always updated radar shows a predicted thunderstorm cluster moving into the Chicago area. Another cluster is forming in northwest Wisconsin, which could result in severe morning weather in Michigan.
It’s advised to secure items that could be affected by wind before going to bed. Be prepared for a potentially stormy sunrise along the west and northwest Lower Michigan shorelines, with stormy conditions possibly extending inland during Tuesday morning. Stay updated with the weather here.
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